» FAQ
 » Home
 » Submit an Idea
 » Join IdeaLab
 » Lost Password
 » Contact Us
 » User List
 
Buy 0 Buys
Sell 3 Sells

unwanted

Subscribe to this Idea

Please do not read.  These are just some rambling thoughts from a guy using only half of his brain.  If you do not listen to the advise and continue to read,  but then decided to go 180 and follow the advice, please be advice that you might lose all you money.

1. if I think and act like everybody in the market, I will be like the market or like average. 

2. if I am not average, then there is only two alternatives: one is above average and the other is below average.  I will be below average if most of my decisions are incorrect and above average if most of my decisions are correct. 

3. Decision come from the process of information, such as information input, analyze data and draw conclusion. For example, if I strike a match, then there is fire.  The next time I strike a match, should I expect fire? my answer is yes.  Should I expect fire every time I strike a match?  my answer is NO.  Thus I know if I see match, if I see match strike, then I should expect to see fire.  But I should NOT expect to see fire every time, as there is this "shade" of probability, confident. 

4. Probability of correct decision is based on concurrent of events: match present, the action of match strike.  The outcome expected is fire. 100% fire outcome? NO.  But fire is the answer if I have to choose an answer.

Thus, based on the above, I should  pick a stock that the market do not want as the first step. The second step is make a decision based on step three, where step three requires gathering of concurrent events for the expected outcome of decison as in step two.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=china&t=6m&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=v,m200,m50&a=ss,m26-12-9,r14,f14&c=

1. Unwanted by dropping from 11.50 or so down to 7.75 or so.

3. positive: divergence of price vs the stochlastic in late may; test of the 200 day moving average in late may; past 2 consecutive days price up with consecutive increasing volume; macd about to turn positive;

2. I think this is a buy.  Again these are just some rambling thoughts from a guy using only half of his brain.  If you do not listen to the advise and continue to read,  but then decided to go 180 and follow the advice, please be advice that you might lose all you money.  Please do follow some type of money management based on step 2 and step 3 as current support seems to be 8 and if  7.80 is broken then I have lost my other half of the brain.

 

Submitter: shaun60 shaun60 (Ideas, comments)
Categories: Stocks, Technical Analysis
  1. 0 Buys, 0 Sells rate down rate up
    It is about a month since this message was posted. It received a negative reception and it is good that it did, since it shows the UNWANTED theme of this message. The market is alway right and the chart shows...
    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=china&t=6m&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=v,m200,m50&a=ss,m26-12-9,r14,f14&c

    Bye and Hope you the best...
  2. 0 Buys, 0 Sells rate down rate up
    Are you gonna kill yourself dude? First of all, you sound WAY to unsure about what to do. Choose something, learn all about it and get completely confident about its expectancy. You can't make money even with a winning system if you have no confidence in it. Good luck
Log In or Join Trader Interviews for free to comment on this idea.